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Thursday, October 09, 2008

Phillies-Dodgers: What Are the Odds?

The opening game of the NLCS is tonight, but there's still time to get your degenerate on and put your money where your trash talk is. Bodog has provided us with expansive odds on the LCS's, and oddly, while the Phils are favored to beat the Dodgers, LA has a better shot at the series. Here's the reasoning Richard Gardner, Bodog Sportsbook Manager, offered:

"Although the Phillies are favored over the Dodgers to win the NLCS, the Dodgers are favored over the Phillies to win the World Series. This seems to stem from a public perception that the new look Manny Ramirez led Dodgers are a legitimate threat to whichever team emerges from the ALCS.  The same cannot be said for the Phillies, who the public seem to believe are too strong a favorite in the series.  This belief most likely rises from the popular opinion that the Dodgers regular season record is somewhat deceiving, in that had they had Manny for the entire season, the Dodgers would have entered the NLCS as the team with the best record and thus would have been afforded home field advantage along with being the series favorite."

All the odds you can shake a stick at, after the jump

World Series and LCS Odds

Odds to Win the 2009 World Series

Boston Red Sox                        7/4

Tampa Bay Rays                       5/2

Los Angeles Dodgers                 3/1

Philadelphia Phillies                   13/4

Exact World Series Matchup

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox                          2/1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox                        9/4 

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays                         11/4 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays                       3/1 

Which League will the 2008 World Series Winner come from?

National League                         +125

American League                        -155

Series Prices

Los Angeles Dodgers                 Even

Philadelphia Phillies                   -120

Boston Red Sox                         -140

Tampa Bay Rays                       +120

NLCS Odds

Will either team sweep the series?

Yes                  +450

No                    -750

Exact Series Finish

Los Angeles Dodgers 4-0                        13/1

Los Angeles Dodgers 4-1                        5/1

Los Angeles Dodgers 4-2                        4/1

Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3                        6/1

Philadelphia Phillies 4-0                          8/1

Philadelphia Phillies 4-1                          4/1

Philadelphia Phillies 4-2                          5/1

Philadelphia Phillies 4-3                          11/2

Exact Number of Games in the Series

4 Game Series              9/2

5 Game Series              7/4

6 Game Series              6/5

7 Game Series              5/2

Game and Series Double

Los Angeles Dodgers win Game 1 – Series Ends in 4 Games                    11/1

Los Angeles Dodgers win Game 1 – Series Ends in 5 Games                    5/1

Los Angeles Dodgers win Game 1 – Series Ends in 6 Games                    7/2

Los Angeles Dodgers win Game 1 – Series Ends in 7 Games                    6/1

Philadelphia Phillies win Game 1 – Series Ends in 4 Games                      8/1

Philadelphia Phillies win Game 1 – Series Ends in 5 Games                      7/2

Philadelphia Phillies win Game 1 – Series Ends in 6 Games                      5/2

Philadelphia Phillies win Game 1 – Series Ends in 7 Games                      9/2

Odds to Win the 2008 NLCS MVP

Manny Ramirez             3/1

Brad Lidge                     5/1

Chase Utley                  5/1

Ryan Howard                 5/1

Cole Hamels                  6/1

Derek Lowe                   7/1

James Loney                 7/1

Jimmy Rollins                7/1

Jonathan Broxton           8/1

Matt Kemp                    8/1

Pat Burrell                     8/1

Russell Martin               9/1

Andre Ethier                  10/1

Takashi Saito                12/1

Casey Blake                  15/1

Jayson Werth                15/1

Shane Victorino             15/1

Field                             Even

Most Hits, Runs and RBI's in the Series   

Manny Ramirez              -145

Ryan Howard                 +115

Manny Ramirez              -140

Chase Utley                  +110

James Loney                 EVEN

Chase Utley                  -130

Russell Martin               -130

Pat Burrell                     Even

Ryan Howard                 -110

Chase Utley                  -120

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Comments

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From August 1st to the end of the season:

Phillies: 33-21
Dodgers: 30-23

Last 20 games plus playoffs:

Phillies: 17-7
Dodgers: 15-8

Since Manny became a Dodger:

Howard: 38 runs, 13 doubles, 2 triples, 18 HRs, 51 RBIs, .276 Avg

Ramirez: 36 runs, 14 doubles, 0 triples, 17 HRs, 53 RBIs, .396 Avg

Yet, the Dodgers are the "hot team to beat!"

this day can't end soon enough!!

wouldn't bet on saito, he's not on the roster anymore.

I'd throw a hundred on Rollins or Werth for series MVP at those odds.

A D V E R T I S E M E N T



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