The following is a guest post from James Beale of Philadelphia's City Paper. He wrote the CP's
Phillies Preview which you can check out here. This post summarizes his preview while providing some additional outtakes for us.
We decided to put
together a non-traditional preview – instead of basic
sportswriter analysis, we went to the writers of Baseball
Prospectus and The Bill James Handbook, the Wharton
Professors who refuted Clemens’ steroid denial, and the author
who literally wrote the book on late-season collapses. Believe it or
not, the guys who published “BioOptimizer: Improving Models for
Discovery of Transcription Factor Binding Motifs” are the new
authority on baseball.
What we found was that
Johan Santana makes the Mets clear favorites - unless he doesn’t.
Moving Myers to the rotation is both common sense and a daring move,
Rowand won’t be missed – except for the significant
offensive and defensive decline, and the Mets will not be
affected at all by last season – until it ruins this one.
Basically we have an upcoming season so close that even the numbers
do not fully agree.
For what they have to
say about the impact of the Santana trade, the Myers move, the Rowand
loss, and the effects of the collapse hit the link above, for their
thoughts on everything from the importance of clubhouse leadership to
one reserve who could be a diamond in the rough (hint: your guess is
wrong), hit the jump:
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